Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.339015 0.395489 0.458673 0.534649 0.623602 0.724543 0.847914
2025-01-05 0.243439 0.315295 0.404636 0.524106 0.680072 0.877311 1.146570
2025-01-12 0.194883 0.270971 0.372615 0.518781 0.724414 1.004650 1.417728
2025-01-19 0.164841 0.242800 0.353203 0.521672 0.773661 1.138833 1.712323
2025-01-26 0.149036 0.230806 0.352646 0.548469 0.857532 1.330261 2.115346
2025-02-02 0.136011 0.220262 0.351626 0.572791 0.939085 1.527236 2.554544
2025-02-09 0.123669 0.208556 0.346475 0.588700 1.007898 1.711549 2.998775
2025-02-16 0.111545 0.195230 0.336434 0.594264 1.058925 1.871546 3.423207
2025-02-23 0.099901 0.180969 0.322632 0.590817 1.092713 2.004666 3.817154
2025-03-02 0.088019 0.164612 0.302878 0.573578 1.098298 2.086365 4.125120
2025-03-09 0.082441 0.159042 0.301774 0.590537 1.169844 2.299517 4.717829
2025-03-16 0.075745 0.150440 0.293821 0.592986 1.212899 2.462285 5.231538
2025-03-23 0.070606 0.144409 0.290388 0.604619 1.277433 2.679532 5.899058
2025-03-30 0.063594 0.133734 0.276470 0.592959 1.292061 2.796109 6.368289
2025-04-06 0.057985 0.125247 0.265927 0.586906 1.317612 2.938893 6.917665
2025-04-13 0.053832 0.119341 0.260056 0.590188 1.364160 3.133994 7.618854
2025-04-20 0.052256 0.118899 0.265917 0.620607 1.477052 3.495708 8.778937
2025-04-27 0.050526 0.117882 0.270343 0.648221 1.587082 3.865896 10.019887
2025-05-04 0.048233 0.115261 0.270764 0.666285 1.676290 4.197949 11.216485
2025-05-11 0.045368 0.110926 0.266634 0.672604 1.736870 4.466889 12.289000
2025-05-18 0.042154 0.105346 0.258853 0.668689 1.770499 4.671264 13.217880
2025-05-25 0.038380 0.097921 0.245672 0.649114 1.759981 4.757747 13.828025
2025-06-01 0.036969 0.096373 0.247087 0.668371 1.857654 5.150887 15.395928